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On a one-year basis, the expectation increased to 3.3%, up 0.3 percentage point from March and the highest since November 2023. However, expected increases in housing prices are particularly troublesome for policymakers who expected shelter costs to ease this year. Along with expected higher home costs, respondents see rents rising 9.1%, up 0.4 percentage point from the prior month. They expect food prices to increase 5.3% (up 0.2 percentage point from a month ago), gasoline to rise 4.8% (up 0.3 percentage point); and college education to increase by 9%, a 2.5 percentage point surge. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the all-items CPI to show a 3.4% increase for April from the prior year, down 0.1 percentage point from March.
Persons: Philip Jefferson, Dow Jones Organizations: Costco, Consumers, New York Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Labor Locations: Novato , California, New, New York
Biden faces widening partisan split over Israel
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +17 min
CNN —President Joe Biden is facing more critical moments this week that will test his fraught relationship with his base over Israel’s war in Gaza and potentially widen the partisan split about the Jewish state that has been building for years. Against this backdrop, partisan polarization about Israel among American voters was already widening years before the brutal Hamas attack last October and the devastating Israeli response it triggered. An array of polls this spring show how the war in Gaza has hardened this partisan split. Nearly half of Democrats, but only a little over one-fifth of Republicans in the CBS poll, said the US should pressure Israel to stop the fighting. “Biden has a Democratic caucus that is putting a lot of faith in this process,” she said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Long, Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu, , , Aaron David Miller, Biden, Harry Truman, Lyndon B, Johnson, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George H.W, Bush, Reagan, George W, Donald Trump, Clinton, Barack Obama, Republicans —, Obama, Israel, Biden —, Gallup, Trump, That’s, Chuck Schumer, Mike Johnson, Biden’s, Jamaal Bowman, Cori Bush, Waleed Shahid, Shahid, David, it’s Goliath, David ”, Miller, “ Biden, ’ ”, Ben Rhodes, ” Biden, “ We’re, Saudi Arabia — “, Mark Mellman, Schumer, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Israel’s, Chris Murphy of, Chris Van Hollen, Chris Coons, Tim Kaine, Virginia, Van Hollen, Amanda Klasing, Organizations: CNN, Israel, Republican, Democratic, Gallup Organization, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Holocaust Memorial, GOP, Whites, Republican Party, Republicans, Gallup, Trump, Chicago Council, Global Affairs, Quinnipiac University, CBS, Liberal, American Israel Public Affairs Committee, AIPAC, National Security Council, Amnesty International, Amnesty Locations: Gaza, Israel, United States, Iran, Quinnipiac, Washington, New York, Missouri, Yom Kippur, Saudi Arabia, Sens, Chris Murphy of Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, Rafah
Federal Reserve officials are keeping a close eye on the job market as they contemplate when and whether they can cut interest rates this year. That was both cooler than the previous reading and slightly cooler than the 4 percent economists had forecast. The overall picture was one of a labor market that remains solid but is gradually slowing — exactly what officials at the Fed have been looking for. Central bankers generally embrace a strong job market: One of their two mandates from Congress is to foster maximum employment. But when inflation is rapid, as it has been since 2021, officials worry that a hot labor market could help to keep price gains elevated.
Organizations: Federal
Federal Reserve officials have been looking for further evidence that their interest rate increases over the past two years are weighing on the economy and job market, and Friday’s employment report roundly provided that signal. That moderation came as job gains slowed, the unemployment rate ticked up slightly and average weekly hours nudged down. The overall picture was one of a labor market that remains solid but is gradually slowing — exactly what officials at the Fed have been looking for. Central bankers generally embrace a strong job market: One of their two mandates from Congress is to foster maximum employment. But when inflation is rapid, like it has been since 2021, officials worry that a hot labor market could help to keep price gains elevated.
Organizations: Federal
Much of Hicks’ testimony focused on her role on the Trump campaign in October 2016, just before Election Day. When cross-examining Hicks, Trump attorney Emil Bove elicited testimony that Trump was also concerned about what his wife would think. Video Ad Feedback Trump closed his eyes during Hope Hicks' testimony. There was a lot at play.”Hicks forwarded the email that included a transcript of the audio to several Trump campaign staffers including Kellyanne Conway. With Hicks’ testimony, prosecutors nudged closer to the repayment and the alleged charges.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Hope Hicks, Hicks, Daniels, Michael Cohen, , , Trump, Matthew Colangelo, ” Hicks, Karen McDougal’s, Emil Bove, Kellyanne Conway, chuckling, Steve Bannon, Conway, Jared Kushner, Jason Miller, McDougal, Cohen, nudged, , Honig, CNN Hicks, Colangelo, Michael, ‘ Mr, ’ Michael Cohen Trump’s, Douglas Daus, Trump’s, Daus, DANY, Cohen ”, ” Daus, Prosecutors, Chris Conroy, Judge Juan Merchan, Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg, Daniel Dale, He’s, ” Merchan, ” Trump, Merchan Organizations: CNN, White House, Trump, Manhattan, Attorney’s Office, Trump White House, Trump Organization, Prosecutors, Wall Street, American Media, Inc, Wall, Washington Post, ” Prosecutors, House, New York Times, Trump “, Manhattan DA Locations: Washington, Manhattan, New York, Michigan
Barrett pins Trump down on his absolute immunity argumentsAs the second-least senior justice, Barrett sits at the far end of the Supreme Court’s mahogany bench. That was a notable break from earlier arguments Trump submitted that called for “absolute” immunity on a much wider scale of acts. A party turns to a private attorney, Barrett hypothesized, “who was willing to spread knowingly false claims of election fraud” to spearhead his challenges to an election. That appeared to be a reference to former Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani, identified by CNN as “co-conspirator 1” in Smith’s indictment. “This is where someone like Justice Barrett gets to pressure test an advocate’s points,” she said.
Persons: John Roberts, Amy Coney Barrett, , Donald Trump, Barrett, Trump’s, Trump, Roe, Wade, “ We’ve, Steve Vladeck, , Jack Smith’s, John Sauer, , Sauer, Smith, Rudy Giuliani, ” Barrett, ” Sauer, Michael Dreeben, ” Dreeben, Ilya Somin, ” Somin, ” ‘, Sonia Sotomayor, quizzing, Biden, Sotomayor, Josh Turner, Turner, I’m, ” Turner, ” Barrett interjected, ’ ”, Beth Brinkmann, litigator Organizations: CNN, Center for Reproductive Rights, University of Texas School of Law, Trump, George Mason University Locations: Idaho
“One which we jokingly say belongs in a Netflix series.”A truck driver with a fraudulent waybill for a seafood shipment picks up the container. Instead of a load of farm-raised seafood, the truck driver pulled away from the loading dock with loot. “They needed people inside Air Canada to facilitate this theft,” Peel Regional Police Det. In its legal response to the Brink’s lawsuit, Air Canada has denied it was “careless” and its security lax. Canadian police had identified him as the truck driver early in the investigation but had not been able to locate him.
Persons: , Nishan Duraiappah, Nando Iannicca, Canada “, ” Duraiappah, ’ ” Patrick Brown, , Mike Mavity, Mavity, couldn’t, “ We’re, ” Mavity, , it’s, Brink’s, Eric, “ They’re, Nick Milinovich, Duraiappah, CNN’s Paula Newton, Fabiana Chaparro Organizations: CNN, Toronto Pearson International, Air Canada, ” Peel Regional Police, Netflix, Peel Regional Police, Peel, Canadian, CSI, Vancouver Bullion & Currency Exchange, Air, Police, ” Air Canada, Authorities, Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, Explosives, ” Police, Investigators, Court, Middle, Middle District of Pennsylvania, ” Peel Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, Canada, Pennsylvania, Florida, Georgia, Brampton, Toronto, Air Canada, United Kingdom, Dubai, India, Franklin County , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Middle District, Atlanta
Lieb, having a background in semiconductors and not server management, reached out to his fellow Y Combinator founders for support. After a year and a half of advising at the accelerator, he's stepping up as a group partner, Y Combinator tells Business Insider exclusively. It was never released, but many of the ideas would later come back in the form of Google Photos. From there, he reached into the Y Combinator alumni network to find other promising upstarts. David Lieb, second from left, speaks to a group of Y Combinator founders.
Persons: David Lieb, Lieb, Alex Polvi, Combinator —, Garry Tan, Jared Friedman, Harj Taggar, Michael Seibel, Sam Altman, it's, Y Combinator, " Lieb, Dan Lieb, Y, Xoogler, Patrick, John Collison's, Mixpanel, Jake Mintz, Forbes, Kevin Systrom, Flock, Andy Huibers, Mary, 72m2YgJZq8 — David Lieb, Ryan Peterson, He's Organizations: Apple, Business, Investors, Google Locations: Cloudkick, San Francisco, Silicon Valley, Flexport
"When we do the risk assessment around that baseline, the chances that we would have something like a global recession is fairly minimal. The Washington DC-based institute this week nudged its global growth outlook slightly higher to 3.2% in 2024 and projects the same rate in 2025. One of the International Monetary Fund's top economists signals little risk of a global recession, despite the ongoing rumblings of geopolitical uncertainty. That has all combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, which had its biggest wider impact on energy prices in Europe in 2022. And that's one of the big risks that we do see, the implications that could have for oil prices could be substantial.
Persons: Gourinchas, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath, we're Organizations: U.S, IMF, Washington DC, International Monetary, Palestinian, Hamas, CNBC Locations: Europe, New York, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, Gaza, Red, Yemeni, Russia, Ukraine, Asia, Israel, Iran
Dollar stands tall as U.S. rate-cut bets recede
  + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar steadied on Monday, holding its biggest weekly gain since 2022, as escalating conflict in the Middle East and the prospect of stubbornly high U.S. interest rates gave support. The dollar steadied on Monday, holding its biggest weekly gain since 2022, as escalating conflict in the Middle East and the prospect of stubbornly high U.S. interest rates gave support. There was little initial reaction to a weekend attack on Israel by Iran. Canadian and New Zealand inflation figures are due on Tuesday, along with Chinese growth numbers. British inflation data is out on Wednesday and Aussie jobs data on Thursday.
Persons: Jason Wong, Sterling Organizations: New Locations: Asia, Israel, Iran, New Zealand, Israeli, Damascus, Wellington, Zealand
Was that a change in the market's character last week, or is it still the same old bull? This is generally to the good, as boring markets are bullish markets while they remain that way. Rates and commodities worries Other asset markets have also been at least inviting the question about a potential shift in character. The good news on this, as I keep insisting, is that it hasn't been a truly Fed-driven market. Though it's easy to imagine the market chafing at this kind of higher-rate, higher-growth equilibrium if it continues too much longer.
Persons: Ned Davis, Jerome Powell, hasn't, That's, We're, It's, Andrew Kelly Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Treasury, Fed, Investors Intelligence, Investment, Deutsche Bank ., New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York City, U.S
A strong jobs outlook raises the potential of greater inflation pressures, meaning the central bank might be less eager to ease policy. Indeed, there are some signs that the labor market's strength may not be as robust as the headline nonfarm payrolls numbers indicate. Economists both on Wall Street and at the Fed suspect swelling immigration numbers are playing a role in boosting employment and keeping the labor market so tight. With political clamoring intensifying for the U.S. to tighten its border controls, the resilience of the labor market then could be jeopardized depending on how large a role immigration is playing. "Another strong report raises the potential that the deterioration in labor markets we have been expecting will be avoided.
Persons: nonfarm, Seema Shah, Shah, Mohamed El, There's, Goldman Sachs, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Andrew Hollenhorst Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, Asset Management, Allianz, Fed, CNBC, Wall, Congressional, Citigroup, Citi Locations: it's, Italy, U.S, South America, Central America, Mexico
It wasn’t until after college that Kendra Baker began to consider becoming a nun. A few hours later, her father opened his eyes. “He’s relearned to walk, talk, drive — he can eat normally,” Ms. Baker, 25, said. “Not God’s booming voice saying, ‘Kendra, go to the convent now.’ But just very gentle,” she said. Only one thing was preventing her from joining: her student loan debt.
Persons: Kendra Baker, Ms, Baker, , ‘ Kendra, Carmelite Organizations: Roman Catholic, Western Washington University Locations: Seattle, Los Angeles
WASHINGTON (AP) — The number of arrests for illegally crossing the U.S. southern border with Mexico nudged upward February over the previous month. But at a time when immigration is increasingly a concern for voters, the numbers were still among the lowest of Joe Biden's presidency. According to figures from Customs and Border Protection, Border Patrol agents made 140,644 arrests of people attempting to enter the country between the legal border crossing points during February. The numbers come after a December that saw the Border Patrol tally 249,785 arrests — a record high that increased tensions over immigration — before plunging in January. Separately, 42,100 migrants used an app called CBP One to schedule an appointment to present themselves at an official border crossing point to seek entry into the United States.
Persons: Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, , Alejandro Mayorkas Organizations: WASHINGTON, Customs, Border Patrol, CBP, Republicans, Republican, Patrol, Homeland Locations: U.S, Mexico, Brownsville , Texas, Arizona, Sonora, Mexican, Tucson, San Diego, El Paso , Texas, United States, Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, Venezuela
Wholesale prices accelerated at a faster-than-expected pace in February, another reminder that inflation remains a troublesome issue for the U.S. economy. The producer price index, which measures pipeline costs for raw, intermediate and finished goods, jumped 0.6% on the month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. That was higher than the 0.3% forecast from Dow Jones and comes after a 0.3% increase in January. Another measure that also excludes trade services rose 0.4%, compared with the 0.6% gain in January, and was above the estimate for a 0.2% advance. The PPI is considered a leading indicator for inflation as it indicates costs early in the supply chain.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dow, Futures, Commerce Department, Labor Department, PPI, BLS, CPI Locations: U.S
Here’s a look at the world's first comprehensive set of AI rules:HOW DOES THE AI ACT WORK? The law’s early drafts focused on AI systems carrying out narrowly limited tasks, like scanning resumes and job applications. The astonishing rise of general purpose AI models, exemplified by OpenAI’s ChatGPT, sent EU policymakers scrambling to keep up. Rules for general purpose AI systems like chatbots will start applying a year after the law takes effect. Meanwhile, Brussels will create an AI Office tasked with enforcing and supervising the law for general purpose AI systems.
Persons: Dragos Tudorache, Sam Altman, OpenAI’s ChatGPT, it’s, , Joe Biden, that’s, Xi Jinping, they've Organizations: , Union, Lawmakers, Artificial Intelligence, Big, ACT, EU, Google, Companies, Global AI, Initiative, United Nations, Group Locations: Romanian, Europe, Brussels, U.S, China, Brazil, Japan
After all, his entire personal and professional life had been in Vancouver, Canada, the 33-year-old told Business Insider via email. Last October, after several months of splitting his time between Canada and LA, Martin and his husband secured visas and moved from their Vancouver suburb to West Hollywood. While he's not a fan of LA's rent costs and the US healthcare system, he said the move has had a "life-changing" impact on one thing: his social life. Business Insider asked Martin what the biggest pros and cons have been of his Canada-to-California move, and whether the improvement to his social life has offset the downsides. Their social life is a big reason why.
Persons: , Stuart Martin, Martin, he's, He's Organizations: Service, Business, West Hollywood, Survey, LA, Wall, of Agriculture Locations: Vancouver, Canada, Los Angeles, LA, West Hollywood, West, California, Louisiana, West Virginia, Hawaii , Illinois, New York
The S & P 500 Volatility Index finished the week near 15 and is in a clear three- month uptrend from its mid-December low near 12, even as the S & P 500 has gained 10% since then. In fact, Friday the market minimized the headline damage to a mere two-thirds-percent dip in the S & P 500 through its signature rotational impulse. Some indicators — such as speculators remaining net short S & P 500 futures and brokerage strategists' muted index targets — imply the helpful wall of worry is not quite fully scaled. Since then, the S & P has delivered a 16.7% annualized total return, even after two bear markets and two other severe/prolonged corrections. And the S & P is only up 7% from its high 26 months ago, hardly in thin air.
Persons: what's, Eli Lilly, Martin Marietta, Nick Colas, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Costco, pharma, Martin Marietta Materials, Vulcan, 3Fourteen Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, DataTrek, Citi
NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia (NVDA) year-to-date performance Nvidia was our top-performing stock for February. Shares surged 28.6% in the month on the back of stellar quarterly results and continued investor optimism in generative artificial intelligence. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms (META) year-to-date performance Coming in at No. GEHC YTD mountain GE Healthcare (GEHC) year-to-date performance GE Healthcare shares jumped 24.4% during February, occupying the No. FL YTD mountain Foot Locker (FL) year-to-date performance Foot Locker was the portfolio's fourth-best stock in the month.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Mark Zuckerberg, Locker, Mary Dillon's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Club, Palo Alto Networks, Wynn Resorts, Nvidia, Facebook, GE Healthcare, Meta, Wall Street, General Electric, Nike, Health, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wells Fargo, WYNN, FL, New York City, U.S
On Friday, just outside Palm Springs, Calif., you might have thought a strange mirage had appeared: One or two zillion tweens descended upon an arena, all wearing platform Doc Martens. Had some official communiqué been issued, at a frequency undetectable to those older than 25? Had everyone been subconsciously nudged to pair boots with fishnets and leg warmers? No one seemed to care that it was hot out. What did matter was that the boots, punky symbols of past musical rebellions, were central to the unofficial-but-conspicuously-official uniform of Olivia Rodrigo’s Guts World Tour, which began that night.
Persons: tweens, Doc Martens, communiqué, Olivia Rodrigo’s Locations: Palm Springs, Calif
She has written a memoir about working for a secretive and wildly prestigious Wall Street hedge fund. Recruiters are one of the main gatekeepers for the hedge fund and private equity industries. I hadn't — but I had heard of Argon, a hedge fund that had long and widely been seen as financial royalty. A leading financial publication had called Carbon the world's hottest hedge fund. Another had named it one of the world's top-performing large hedge funds, ranking it among other hedge fund titans and their flagships, like Ray Dalio's Pure Alpha II and Ken Griffin's Citadel.
Persons: , Carrie Sun, Sun, Beowulf Sheehan Yuna, Carrie, Yuna, Chang's, Meijer, Peter, Boone Prescott, He's, Peter glanced, Boone, Jen, you'd, Ruth, Maya, Warren Buffett, Ray, Ken Griffin's, Griffin, Anne Hathaway, Chanel Organizations: Service, MIT, New, Boone, Samsung, Ann Arbor ., College, Carbon, NYU, Alpha, Penguin Press Locations: China, Michigan, Jersey City, Kansas, Midtown, receptionists, Manhattan, Ann Arbor, United States, New York, New Jersey, Anhui, Barneys, Madison, America, Boone, Missouri
Most companies involved in the world's largest trial of a four-day working week have made the policy permanent, according to a new report. Of the 61 British companies that took part in a six-month pilot in 2022, at least 54 (89%) said the policy was still in place, while 31 firms (51%) said they had permanently switched to a four-day working week. The companies involved were invited to take part in a follow-up study one year on from the world's biggest trial of a shorter working week to date. "Overall results have held and in some cases have even continued to improve," Schor said in a statement. Job satisfaction and sleep problems nudged down a bit, but the bulk of the original improvement remains."
Persons: Juliet Schor, Schor Organizations: Frankfurt Central, Autonomy, Boston College Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
AdvertisementThat means the strong job numbers of recent months have largely been due to immigrants , specifically foreign-born workers, entering the workforce in large numbers. “Foreign-born labor force participants have accounted for all of the job growth over the last year,” Bill Adams, an economist at Comerica Bank, told The New York Times. AdvertisementAdditionally, he said these job gains haven’t come at the expense of US-born workers either. As of 2022, foreign-born workers were more likely than US-born workers to be in service, natural resources, construction, and maintenance jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. As of January, 65.7% of foreign-born workers were working or looking for work, compared to 61.4% of US-born workers.
Persons: , ” Bill Adams, Paul Krugman, “ They're, , Louis, Miguel Faria, Castro, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Business, Comerica Bank, New York Times, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Immigrants, Congressional, Office, St, Louis Fed
(AP) — The Kansas City Chiefs' Super Bowl victory rally had just ended when fan Trey Filter heard what he initially thought was fireworks. The shooting happened as Filter was walking to his car with his wife, Casey Filter, and their 15- and 12-year-old children. “Right out of a video game,” is how Trey Filter recalled the long-barreled weapon. “We we barely let the dogs out when we got home.”For Casey Filter, what sticks out is how fast everything changed. Trey Filter laughed at the idea.
Persons: Trey Filter, , I’m, , wasn’t, Stacey Graves, Casey Filter, , It’s Organizations: KANSAS CITY, The Kansas City Chiefs, Wichita , Kansas . Police Locations: KANSAS, Mo, The, Wichita , Kansas
PORTLAND, Maine (AP) — The state of Maine's long-cherished reputation for political independence is being threatened by the nation's polarized politics, with more and more of its voters feeling pressured to take sides. So-called independents, or unenrolled voters, have gone from the state's largest voting bloc to trailing both major parties in just four years. Republicans, too, overtook unenrolled voters two years later. As of last month, a tally of active voters indicated there were 343,488 Democratic voters, 279,936 Republican voters and 273,298 unenrolled voters. The economist served in the Maine Senate as an independent, and remains active on political issues.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Trump, Haley, , Zach Azem, — “, Sen, Angus King, Arizona’s Kyrsten, Vermont's Bernie Sanders, Jill Goldthwait, unenrolled, , , Paul LePage, Donald Trump, Mark Brewer, Brewer, they'll, State Shenna Bellows, Richard Woodbury, “ I’m, ” Woodbury, David Sharp, @David_Sharp_AP Organizations: New, New Hampshire GOP, Democratic, AP VoteCast, GOP, University of New Hampshire Survey, Republicans, Democratic Party, Republican, University of Maine, Trump, Congressional, State, Bureau of Motor Vehicles, Maine Senate Locations: PORTLAND, Maine, New Hampshire, Bar, District, Yarmouth
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